How many Atlantic hurricanes will there be this year?
How many Atlantic hurricanes will there be this year?
Chance
Above 5
63%
▼ 4
Above 5
63%
▼ 4
Above 6
38%
▲ 3
Above 6
38%
▲ 3
Above 7
33%
▲ 11
Above 7
33%
▲ 11
6 more
Market Rules
Above 4
If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 4 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026.
Timeline and payout
Market openApr 1, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closesDec 1, 2026 · 11:59pm EST
Projected payoutDec 2, 2026 · 10:00am EST
SeriesKXHURCTOT
EventKXHURCTOT-26DEC01
MarketKXHURCTOT-26DEC01-T4
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
About
Hurricanes are powerful tropical cyclones that form over warm ocean waters, causing significant damage and loss of life. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) tracks and categorizes these storms by wind speed, with Category 1 being the least severe and Category 5 the most severe. The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30, peaking from mid-August to late October.