How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?

How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?

Chance

Above 8

70%

Above 8

70%

Above 9

59%

Above 9

59%

Above 10

47%

Above 10

47%

6 more

Market Rules

Above 5

If more than 5 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

Timeline and payout

Market openMay 15, 2026 · 4:00pm EDT

Market closesAfter the outcome occurs

Projected payout30 minutes after closing

This market will close and expire early if the weather event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 1, 2026 at 10:00am EST.

SeriesKXHURRICANE

EventKXHURRICANE-26DEC01EPACTOT

MarketKXHURRICANE-26DEC01EPACTOT-5

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.