Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed in 2025?
Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed in 2025?
$185,440 vol
Order book
No
Market Rules
The outcome is No
If any object is confirmed to be an interstellar visitor before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from in hierarchical order, the International Astronomical Union, NASA, the European Space Agency, the Minor Planet Center, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Bloomberg News, Reuters, Axios, Politico, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, NBC, BBC, Nature, Ars Technica, LiveScience, EarthSky, and Scientific American.
This market requires the confirmation of a second interstellar object in 2025. It is not inclusive of the recently detected 3I/ATLAS.
Timeline and payout
Market openJul 3, 2025 · 4:45pm EDT
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXINTERSTELLAR
EventKXINTERSTELLAR-25
MarketKXINTERSTELLAR-25
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.