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How low will the S&P get this year?1

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%
1D
1M
3M
1Y
2025
Chance
$12,247vol
4,500 or below
35%
▼ 6
4,000 or below
27%
▼ 2
5,500 or below
Yes
5 more markets
Rules summary for
4,500 or below
If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Mar 19, 2025 and ending on Jan 1, 2026 is below 4500.01, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from For example, Google Finance.
Timeline and payout
1.Kalshi is not affiliated with the indices creators in any way or fashion and the indices creators do not sponsor or endorse Kalshi or its products in any way. Kalshi does not sponsor, endorse, recommend, or represent in any way the quality, value, utility as a market proxy, utility as a market benchmark, or any other use of any index. Kalshi’s contracts can be used by traders who have direct exposure to an index, such as through a 401K, to hedge risk directly related to that exposure.S&P 500 is a registered mark of Standard & Poor’s Financial Services, LLC. NASDAQ-100 is a registered mark of Nasdaq, Inc. Kalshi is not affiliated with either Standard & Poor’s or Nasdaq and neither Standard & Poor’s or Nasdaq, nor its affiliates, sponsor or endorse Kalshi or its products in any way. In particular, the Kalshi Contracts are not sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by Standard & Poor’s or Nasdaq.
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How low will the S&P get this year?
Buy Yes · 4,500 or below
Buy
Sell
Dollars
Pick a side
Contracts0
Average price
41¢
Payout if Yes wins
$0