Annual Return: S&P 500 Total Return Vs. BTC?1
Annual Return: S&P 500 Total Return Vs. BTC?1
Chance
S&P 500 Total Return Index
93%
S&P 500 Total Return Index
93%
BTC
8%
▼ 1
BTC
8%
▼ 1
Market Rules
S&P 500 Total Return Index
Resolves Yes if S&P 500 Total Return Index performs above BTC for the week of 2026 by 0.001% rounded to the nearest 3rd.Outcome verified from Google Finance and CF Benchmarks.
Percent return is calculated from the official open price of each asset on January 2, 2026 (the first published trading day of the calendar year) and the official closing price on December 31, 2026. For example, if the S&P 500 Total Return Index opens at $5,800 on January 2, 2026 and at $6,380 on December 31, 2026, it will be concluded that the annual percentage return of the S&P 500 TR is +10.000%.
Timeline and payout
Market openMay 19, 2026 · 3:00pm EDT
Market closesDec 31, 2026 · 11:59pm EST
Projected payoutJan 1, 2027 · 12:29am EST
SeriesKXINXVSBTC
EventKXINXVSBTC-26DEC31
MarketKXINXVSBTC-26DEC31-INXTR
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.