ISM Manufacturing PMI in July Odds & Predictions 2026
ISM Manufacturing PMI in July
ISM Manufacturing PMI in July
Begins in 32 days · Aug 3, 9:00am EDT
Chance
At least 52
69%
At least 52
69%
At least 53
50%
At least 53
50%
At least 54
24%
At least 54
24%
5 more
Market Rules
At least 51
Resolves Yes ifthe headline PMI value in the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business for July 2026, as published by ISM (one decimal place), is at least 51.Outcome verified from ISM.
Note: this event is directional.
Timeline and payout
Market openJul 1, 2026 · 2:30pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Aug 3, 2026 at 9:59am EDT.
SeriesKXISMPMI
EventKXISMPMI-26JUL
MarketKXISMPMI-26JUL-51
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.