Initial jobless claims for the week ending July 4, 2026
Initial jobless claims for the week ending July 4, 2026
Begins on Thursday · Jul 9, 7:30am EDT
Chance
At least 220,000
60%
At least 220,000
60%
At least 225,000
29%
At least 225,000
29%
At least 230,000
--%
At least 230,000
--%
7 more
Market Rules
At least 200,000
Resolves Yes if there are at least 200,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Jul 4, 2026.Outcome verified from Department of Labor.
Note: this event is directional.
Timeline and payout
Market openJul 2, 2026 · 11:00am EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXJOBLESSCLAIMS
EventKXJOBLESSCLAIMS-26JUL09
MarketKXJOBLESSCLAIMS-26JUL09-200000
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
At least 200,000
Odds
0% chanceMax payout