Who will go on Tiny Desk this year?
Who will go on Tiny Desk this year?
Chance
Olivia Dean
36%
Olivia Dean
36%
Olivia Rodrigo
32%
Olivia Rodrigo
32%
Paul McCartney
26%
Paul McCartney
26%
More markets
Market Rules
Olivia Dean
If Olivia Dean is on Tiny Desk before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from NPR and NPR YouTube.
An artist resolves Yes if they participate in an NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert in any performing capacity, including as a lead artist, featured artist, or instrumental performer; for example, if Travis Scott performs a Tiny Desk Concert and John Mayer appears playing an instrument during the same performance, both Travis Scott and John Mayer resolve Yes.
Timeline and payout
Market openJan 22, 2026 · 3:35pm EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXKXMEDIAGUESTTINYDESK
EventKXKXMEDIAGUESTTINYDESK-27
MarketKXKXMEDIAGUESTTINYDESK-27-OLIV
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.