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How many trips to Mar-a-Lago will Trump make as President this month?

9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
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9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
forecast
Jan 17Jan 20Jan 23Jan 26Jan 2900.30.50.81
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL

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Jan 2025
% Chance
$80,472vol

0
82%
-11
0
82%
-11

1
16%
+8
1
16%
+8

2
<1%
2
<1%

Rules summary for
0
If Trump makes exactly 0 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Jan 2025 as President, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from White House, New York Times, Politico, and Fox News.
A single visit begins when the President arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when the President has returned to the White House. A visit need not end to be included – i.e. if Jan 2025 ends with the President still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count. If the President is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Jan 2025, that will count as a visit. Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

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How many trips to Mar-a-Lago will Trump make as President this month?
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