More white-collar layoffs in 2026 than in 2025? Odds & Predictions
More white-collar layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
More white-collar layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
Begins in 263 days · Mar 1, 9:00am EST
$54,504 vol
Chance
Yes
70%
▲ 4
Yes
70%
▲ 4
Market Rules
Yes
If the total number of layoffs and discharges in the Professional and Business Services sector during calendar year 2026 is greater than 5,497,000, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from FRED.
This market will use FRED series JTU540099LDL, “Layoffs and Discharges: Total Nonfarm: Professional and Business Services, Level in Thousands, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted."
Timeline and payout
Market openMar 31, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout1 hour after closing
This market will close and expire early upon the first BLS release of the December 2026 layoffs and discharges value for Professional and Business Services, if that release determines the market outcome. Otherwise, it closes by Mar 1, 2027 at 10:00am EST.
SeriesKXLAYOFFSYPBS
EventKXLAYOFFSYPBS-26
MarketKXLAYOFFSYPBS-26-5497000
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.