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  1. International elections

Which leaders will leave office this year?

Official must announce or actually leave office. Temporary absence, delegation, or death don't count.
Chance
Christopher Luxon
Prime Minister of New Zealand
43%
▼ 3

Christopher Luxon

Prime Minister of New Zealand
43%
▼ 3
Benjamin Netanyahu
Prime Minister of Israel
19%
▼ 18

Benjamin Netanyahu

Prime Minister of Israel
19%
▼ 18
Pedro Sánchez
Prime Minister of Spain
16%
▼ 2

Pedro Sánchez

Prime Minister of Spain
16%
▼ 2
More markets
Which leaders will leave office this year?

Christopher Luxon

Odds
48% chance
Max payout
Jan 1, 2027
$0
$9,587,574 vol
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