MARKETSPERPSLIVE177
Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive177AccountSocial
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. US Elections

Kansas Senate margin of victory

100
Begins in 21 days · Nov 3
Chance
Marshall, 1+ pts

60%

Marshall, 1+ pts

60%

Marshall, 3+ pts

43%

▼ 3
Marshall, 3+ pts

43%

▼ 3
Marshall, 5+ pts

20%

▼ 9
Marshall, 5+ pts

20%

▼ 9
9 more

People are also trading

Series Image
Kansas Senate winner?
Series Image
Kansas Governor-Senate combo
Series Image
Kansas Senate General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
Kansas Senate election: Roger Marshall vote percent
Series Image
Kansas Senate margin of victory
Series Image
Kansas Senate election: Adam Hamilton vote percent
Series Image
Will Adam Hamilton outperform the polls?
Series Image
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Series Image
Texas Senate winner?
Series Image
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Kansas Senate margin of victory
Marshall, 1+ pts

Marshall, 1+ pts

Odds
59% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027

$0

Race Intel
CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • Adam HamiltonD46.6%
    46.6%
    $3.7M
    17%
    $3.7M raised·17% small donors
  • Roger MarshallR45.4%
    45.4%
    $3.9M
    3.8%
    $3.9M raised·3.8% small donors
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.
Past presidential elections
2024R +16.1%2020R +14.6%