Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive131AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE131
Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. US Elections

Texas Senate margin of victory

Forecast

Chance
James Talarico, 9+ pts
8.8%
▼ 4.2
James Talarico, 9+ pts
8.8%
▼ 4.2
James Talarico, 8+ pts
12%
James Talarico, 8+ pts
12%
James Talarico, 7+ pts
19%
▼ 1
James Talarico, 7+ pts
19%
▼ 1
James Talarico, 6.5+ pts
22%
▼ 3
James Talarico, 6.5+ pts
22%
▼ 3
James Talarico, 6+ pts
28%
▼ 4
James Talarico, 6+ pts
28%
▼ 4
James Talarico, 5.5+ pts
31%
▼ 6
James Talarico, 5.5+ pts
31%
▼ 6
James Talarico, 5+ pts
34%
▼ 4
James Talarico, 5+ pts
34%
▼ 4
James Talarico, 4.5+ pts
38%
▼ 2
James Talarico, 4.5+ pts
38%
▼ 2
James Talarico, 4+ pts
43%
▼ 4
James Talarico, 4+ pts
43%
▼ 4
James Talarico, 3.5+ pts
45%
▼ 11
James Talarico, 3.5+ pts
45%
▼ 11
James Talarico, 3+ pts
51%
▼ 6
James Talarico, 3+ pts
51%
▼ 6
James Talarico, 2.5+ pts
57%
▼ 5
James Talarico, 2.5+ pts
57%
▼ 5
James Talarico, 2+ pts
65%
▲ 1
James Talarico, 2+ pts
65%
▲ 1
James Talarico, 1.5+ pts
67%
▼ 4
James Talarico, 1.5+ pts
67%
▼ 4
James Talarico, 1+ pts
72%
▲ 2
James Talarico, 1+ pts
72%
▲ 2
James Talarico, 0.5+ pts
74%
▲ 2
James Talarico, 0.5+ pts
74%
▲ 2
Ken Paxton, 0.5+ pts
26%
▲ 2
Ken Paxton, 0.5+ pts
26%
▲ 2
Ken Paxton, 1+ pts
22%
▼ 3
Ken Paxton, 1+ pts
22%
▼ 3
Ken Paxton, 1.5+ pts
21%
▼ 5
Ken Paxton, 1.5+ pts
21%
▼ 5
Ken Paxton, 2+ pts
19%
▲ 1
Ken Paxton, 2+ pts
19%
▲ 1
Ken Paxton, 2.5+ pts
14%
▼ 3
Ken Paxton, 2.5+ pts
14%
▼ 3
Ken Paxton, 3+ pts
11%
▼ 5
Ken Paxton, 3+ pts
11%
▼ 5
Ken Paxton, 4+ pts
6.5%
▼ 3.5
Ken Paxton, 4+ pts
6.5%
▼ 3.5
Ken Paxton, 5+ pts
7%
▼ 0.8
Ken Paxton, 5+ pts
7%
▼ 0.8
Ken Paxton, 6+ pts
6%
▼ 1.5
Ken Paxton, 6+ pts
6%
▼ 1.5
Ken Paxton, 7+ pts
5%
▼ 1
Ken Paxton, 7+ pts
5%
▼ 1
Ken Paxton, 8+ pts
4.3%
▼ 0.7
Ken Paxton, 8+ pts
4.3%
▼ 0.7
Ken Paxton, 9+ pts
3.4%
▼ 0.4
Ken Paxton, 9+ pts
3.4%
▼ 0.4
Ken Paxton, 11+ pts
2.9%
▼ 0.8
Ken Paxton, 11+ pts
2.9%
▼ 0.8
Ken Paxton, 13+ pts
2.5%
▼ 1.1
Ken Paxton, 13+ pts
2.5%
▼ 1.1
Texas Senate margin of victory

James Talarico, 9+ pts

Odds
9% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
More Elections Markets

More Midterm margin of victory markets

Alaska Governor margin of victoryAlaska Governor margin of victoryAlaska Senate margin of victoryAlaska Senate margin of victoryAlabama's 2nd District margin of victoryArkansas's 2nd District margin of victoryCalifornia's 4th District margin of victoryCalifornia's 4th District margin of victory

Trending Elections markets

Who will control the House?Texas Senate winner?Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?Who will control the Senate?Michigan Senate winner?Texas Governor winner?Florida Governor winner?How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

Elections hub

All Elections markets