Which AI will be the first to hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena? Odds & Predictions 2025
Which AI will be the first to hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena?
Which AI will be the first to hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena?
Gemini
Google
No
Gemini
Google
No
ChatGPT
OpenAI
No
ChatGPT
OpenAI
No
Grok
xAI
No
Grok
xAI
No
2 more
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Market Rules
Claude
The outcome is No
If a model by Anthropic is the first to hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Controls).
Timeline and payout
Market openFeb 26, 2025 · 10:00am EST
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 1, 2026 at 3:00am EST.
SeriesKXMODELHIGH
EventKXMODELHIGH-26
MarketKXMODELHIGH-26-ANT
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