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Will Elon win his case against OpenAI? Odds & Predictions 2026
Politics
·
SCOTUS & courts
Will Elon win his case against OpenAI?
Politics
·
SCOTUS & courts
Will Elon win his case against OpenAI?
$1,330,988 vol
Order book
No
Market Rules
The outcome is No
If the U.S. District Court in the Northern District of California sides with Elon Musk in Musk v. Altman et al before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Sources from
The Source Agencies are
,
in hierarchical order: judicial body official records and electronic filing systems
,
court clerk's office for judicial body
,
PACER
,
Westlaw Court Records
,
Bloomberg Law Court Filings
,
The New York Times
,
the Associated Press
,
Bloomberg News
,
Reuters
,
The Washington Post
,
The Wall Street Journal
,
Law360
,
Legal Monitor Worldwide
,
ABC
,
CBS
,
CNN
,
Fox News
,
MSNBC
,
NBC
,
Politico
, and
STAT News
.
View full rules
Help center
Report Insider Trading
Timeline and payout
Market open
Jan 14, 2026 · 10:00am EST
Market closed
After the outcome occurs
Paid out
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by May 18, 2026 at 4:14pm EDT.
Series
KXMUSKOAI
Event
KXMUSKOAI-26
Market
KXMUSKOAI-26
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.