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Will Trump start a new census in 2025? Odds & Predictions
Politics
Will Trump start a new census in 2025?
Politics
Will Trump start a new census in 2025?
$872 vol
Order book
No
Market Rules
The outcome is No
If a new U.S. census is initiated before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Sources from
the U.S. Census Bureau
,
the U.S. Department of Commerce
,
the Federal Register
,
the White House
,
the President of the United States
,
USAGov
,
Congress.gov
,
The New York Times
,
the Associated Press
,
Bloomberg News
,
Reuters
,
Axios
,
Politico
,
The Washington Post
,
The Wall Street Journal
,
ABC
,
CBS
,
CNN
,
Fox News
,
MSNBC
,
NBC
, and
NPR
.
View full rules
Help center
Report Insider Trading
Timeline and payout
Market open
Aug 13, 2025 ยท 4:45pm EDT
Market closed
After the outcome occurs
Paid out
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2025 at 11:59pm EST.
Series
KXNEWCENSUS
Event
KXNEWCENSUS-25
Market
KXNEWCENSUS-25
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.