How many new drugs will the FDA approve this year?
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
▼ 00
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
2025
Chance
$1,332vol
More than 35
67%
More than 40
56%
More than 45
38%
▼ 34
4 more markets
Rules summary for
More than 40
If above 40 novel FDA drugs are approved in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from FDA.
Note: this event is directional.Timeline and payout
How many new drugs will the FDA approve this year?
Buy Yes · More than 40Buy
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