How many rounds will it take to elect the new Pope?
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
2025
Chance
$11,884vol
3 to 4
27%
▼ 1
5 to 6
39%
▲ 1
7 to 8
17%
▲ 3
5 more markets
Rules summary for
5 to 6
If the next Pope is elected in exactly 5 to 6 rounds of voting, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from The New York Times, the Associated Press, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, and MSNBC.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.Timeline and payout
How many rounds will it take to elect the new Pope?
Buy Yes · 5 to 6Buy
Sell
Dollars
Pick a side