Important information: In the event of death, Kalshi may halt trading and settle the market at the last traded price prior to the death. If Kalshi determines that trading was materially affected by the circumstances leading to the death, it may instead settle at the last traded price before those circumstances became known or reasonably anticipated by the market. Please refer to our rulebook amendment for more details.
Who will be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Person must assume office of Supreme leader; election or nomination does not count.
Who will be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes
Yes
No
No
No
No
Market Rules
The market resolves based on who actually assumes the office of Supreme Leader, not who is elected or nominated. Acting or interim appointments count as holding the position if they formally assume the office. The person must be different from whoever held the position at market issuance - if the same person continues in office through the expiration date, all markets resolve to No. For countries where the equivalent position has a different title (e.g., Chancellor in Germany), the specific title will be used. Resolution is based on official announcements from the country's legislature or government, with The New York Times as a secondary source for confirmation.
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event