US nominal GDP growth in Q1 2026
US nominal GDP growth in Q1 2026
Above 0.5%
Yes
Above 0.5%
Yes
Above 1.0%
Yes
Above 1.0%
Yes
Above 1.5%
No
Above 1.5%
No
2 more
Market Rules
Above 0.5%
If the percent change in U.S. nominal GDP in Q1 2026, rounded to the nearest one-hundredth of a percent according to the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis’s Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) series, is above 0.5, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Federal Reserve.
The market will close at 8:25 AM ET on Apr 30, 2026. The data is expected to be released at 8:30 AM ET on that date.
Please see the Rulebook's Instructions section on how to calculate the Underlying. In summary, go to the Source Agency link, click “Edit Graph,” and change “Units” to “Percent Change.” Unlike real GDP growth, this percent change is not annualized.
Timeline and payout
Market openApr 3, 2026 · 3:00pm EDT
Market closedApr 30, 2026 · 8:25am EDT
Paid outApr 30, 2026 · 11:00am EDT
SeriesKXNGDPQ
EventKXNGDPQ-26Q1
MarketKXNGDPQ-26Q1-C3.0
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.