Where will the 10 year US Treasury yield close this month? Odds & Predictions 2026
Where will the 10 year US Treasury yield close this month?
Where will the 10 year US Treasury yield close this month?
Chance
4.25% or above
--%
4.25% or above
--%
4.3% or above
--%
4.3% or above
--%
4.35% or above
--%
4.35% or above
--%
8 more
Market Rules
4.25% or above
If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury note is above 4.24 % on Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from U.S. Department of the Treasury.
The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jun 30, 2026, or one week following Jun 30, 2026.
Note: this event is directional.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 1, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closesJun 30, 2026 · 5:00pm EDT
Projected payoutJun 30, 2026 · 6:00pm EDT
SeriesKXNOTE10M
EventKXNOTE10M-26JUN30
MarketKXNOTE10M-26JUN30-T4.24
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.