10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
Chance
4.75% or above
27%
▼ 23
4.75% or above
27%
▼ 23
5% or above
48%
▼ 1
5% or above
48%
▼ 1
5.1% or above
49%
5.1% or above
49%
5.15% or above
7%
▼ 42
5.15% or above
7%
▼ 42
Market Rules
4.75% or above
If the 10Y US Treasury Yield is above 4.74% on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from U.S. Department of the Treasury.
The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Dec 31, 2026, or one week following Dec 31, 2026.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 9, 2026 · 11:30am EDT
Market closesDec 31, 2026 · 2:00pm EST
Projected payoutDec 31, 2026 · 3:00pm EST
SeriesKXNOTE10Y
EventKXNOTE10Y-26DEC31
MarketKXNOTE10Y-26DEC31-T4.74
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.