What will turnout be in the NYC mayoral election?
What will turnout be in the NYC mayoral election?
Between 29.00% and 30.99%
1.98–2.11M
No
Between 29.00% and 30.99%
1.98–2.11M
No
Between 31.00% and 32.99%
2.11–2.25M
Yes
Between 31.00% and 32.99%
2.11–2.25M
Yes
Between 33.00% and 34.99%
2.25–2.39M
No
Between 33.00% and 34.99%
2.25–2.39M
No
8 more
Market Rules
Below 19.00%
Resolves Yes if the voter turnout rate for 2025 New York City mayoral election in New York City is strictly below 19.00%.Outcome verified from the US Census Bureau and Board of Elections in the City of New York.
The turnout denominator is based on the U.S. Census Bureau's latest ACS 1-year voting-age population figure. As of Issuance, this figure is 6,818,220 and may be subject to revision by the Source Agency prior to this contract's expiration.
Voter turnout is calculated as the proportion of the total Voting Age Population who voted. The turnout rate is expressed as a percentage with one decimal place precision. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the market remains valid for the rescheduled election. If postponed beyond one year, all markets resolve to No. The market resolves based on officially certified results from the appropriate election authority, regardless of ongoing appeals. The calculation uses the total votes cast divided by the voting age population as determined by census or statistical agencies.
Timeline and payout
Market openOct 30, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXNYCTURNOUT
EventKXNYCTURNOUT-25NOV04
MarketKXNYCTURNOUT-25NOV04-19B
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