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Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
Financials
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
Chance
Anthropic
83%
▲ 3
Yes
82¢
No
19¢
Anthropic
83%
▲ 3
Yes
82¢
No
19¢
OpenAI
16%
Yes
15¢
No
86¢
OpenAI
16%
Yes
15¢
No
86¢
Market Rules
Anthropic
Resolves Yes if
Anthropic confirms an IPO first, before Jan 1, 2040
.
Outcome verified from
Securities and Exchange Commission
,
NYSE
,
NASDAQ
,
the New York Times
,
The Wall Street Journal
,
Bloomberg
,
BBC
,
ABC
,
Reuters
,
CNBC
, and
Financial Times
.
View full rules
Help center
Report Insider Trading
Timeline and payout
Market open
Aug 6, 2025 · 7:30pm EDT
Market closes
After the outcome occurs
Projected payout
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2039 at 11:59pm EST.
Series
KXOAIANTH
Event
KXOAIANTH-40
Market
KXOAIANTH-40-ANTH
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Buy
Sell
Dollars
Anthropic
YES --
NO --
Dollars
$
Odds
0% chance
Max payout
$0
Sign up to trade
$301,330 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first? Odds & Predictions 2039