Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
Chance
Anthropic
81%
▲ 9
Anthropic
81%
▲ 9
OpenAI
19%
▼ 10
OpenAI
19%
▼ 10
Market Rules
Anthropic
If Anthropic confirms an IPO first, before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from Securities and Exchange Commission, NYSE, NASDAQ, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, BBC, ABC, Reuters, CNBC, and Financial Times.
Timeline and payout
Market openAug 6, 2025 · 7:30pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXOAIANTH
EventKXOAIANTH-40
MarketKXOAIANTH-40-ANTH
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.