Oscar nominations for Best Picture? Odds & Predictions 2026
Oscar nominations for Best Picture?
Oscar nominations for Best Picture?
Bugonia
Yes
Bugonia
Yes
F1
Yes
F1
Yes
Sinners
Yes
Sinners
Yes
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Market Rules
Bugonia
The outcome is Yes
If Bugonia has been nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.
The 98th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2026.
Timeline and payout
Market openMar 10, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out1 hour after closing
If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 22, 2026 at 12:20pm EST.
SeriesKXOSCARNOMPIC
EventKXOSCARNOMPIC-26
MarketKXOSCARNOMPIC-26-BUG
Insider trading is prohibited
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About
The Academy Award for Best Picture is one of the most prestigious honors in the film industry, presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). The award goes to the producers of the film and is the only category in which every member of the Academy is eligible to submit a nomination and vote on the final ballot. The nominees for Best Picture are typically announced in advance of the ceremony, and the winner is revealed during the live broadcast.