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Will the Senate overrule the parliamentarian on budget reconciliation? Odds & Predictions 2025
Politics
·
Congress
Will the Senate overrule the parliamentarian on budget reconciliation?
Politics
·
Congress
Will the Senate overrule the parliamentarian on budget reconciliation?
$21,709 vol
Order book
No
Market Rules
The outcome is No
If the Senate has overruled the parliamentarian’s ruling on whether a given line-item can be included within budget reconciliation before 2026, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Sources from
U.S. Senate
,
Axios
,
AP
,
Bloomberg
,
The New York Times
,
The Information
,
The Wall Street Journal
,
The Washington Post
,
CBS
,
NBC
,
ABC
,
MSNBC
,
Semafor
,
CNN
, and
Fox News
.
View full rules
Help center
Report Insider Trading
Timeline and payout
Market open
Feb 21, 2025 · 10:00am EST
Market closed
After the outcome occurs
Paid out
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 1, 2026 at 2:32am EST.
Series
KXPARLIAMENTARIAN
Event
KXPARLIAMENTARIAN-26
Market
KXPARLIAMENTARIAN-26
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.