MARKETS
PERPS
LIVE
51
SOCIAL
TRUST
RESEARCH
Cash
Browse
Live
51
Portfolio
Search
Ideas
Log in
Sign up
Trending
Elections
Politics
Sports
Culture
Crypto
Commodities
Climate
Economics
Mentions
Finance
Tech & Science
Browse
Live
51
Portfolio
Search
Ideas
Trending
Elections
Politics
Sports
Culture
Crypto
Commodities
Climate
Economics
Mentions
Finance
Tech & Science
Party leaders out this year? Odds & Predictions 2026
Politics
Party leaders out this year?
Politics
Party leaders out this year?
Geert Wilders
No
Geert Wilders
No
Kemi Badenoch
No
Kemi Badenoch
No
Chuck Schumer
No
Chuck Schumer
No
Market Rules
Geert Wilders
The outcome is No
If Geert Wilders leaves their office, or announces they will leave their office, before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Sources from
The New York Times
,
the Associated Press
,
Reuters
,
Axios
,
Politico
,
Semafor
,
The Information
,
The Washington Post
,
The Wall Street Journal
,
ABC
,
CBS
,
CNN
,
Fox News
, and
MSNBC
.
An announcement is sufficient to resolve the market to Yes.
View full rules
Help center
Report Insider Trading
Timeline and payout
Market open
Jun 15, 2025 ยท 10:00am EDT
Market closed
After the outcome occurs
Paid out
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 1, 2026 at 1:05am EST.
Series
KXPARTYLEADEROUT
Event
KXPARTYLEADEROUT-25
Market
KXPARTYLEADEROUT-25-GWIL
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.