What will the rate of core PCE inflation be in January 2025?
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
forecast
▲
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
6H
1D
1W
ALL
Jan 2025
% Chance
$68,928vol
Above 0.0%
99%
+2
Above 0.0%
99%
+2
Above 0.1%
98%
+18
Above 0.1%
98%
+18
Above 0.2%
81%
+36
Above 0.2%
81%
+36
Rules summary for
Above 0.2%
If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.2% in January 2025 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Bureau of Economic Analysis.
The market will close at 8:25 AM ET on the expected release of the data. It will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of the data, or one week after the expected release of the data.Note: this event is directional.