Who will make a public appearance in April 2026?
Who will make a public appearance in April 2026?
Market Rules
Barack Obama
If Barack Obama has been seen in public starting 10:00 AM Apr 1, 2026 and before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC, NBC, BBC, The Guardian, official social media accounts verified by the platforms, government agencies of the jurisdiction where person resides or appears, person or their official representatives, MSNBC, The Information, The Wall Street Journal, Fox News, the Associated Press, The Washington Post, Axios, The New York Times, Semafor, CNN, Bloomberg News, CBS, Reuters, Politico, and Sky News.
All of the following criteria must be met:
- Physical Presence: Barack Obama is physically present (not virtual/holographic) and alive
- Consciousness: Barack Obama appears conscious and aware (not unconscious, comatose, or incapacitated)
- Public Setting: The sighting occurs in one of the following:
- A public space accessible to the general public (streets, parks, shops, restaurants)
- A ticketed public event (concerts, sports events, conferences)
- An official public appearance (government events, ceremonies, press conferences)
- A semi-public venue where public access is normal (hotels, airports, train stations)
The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:
- Pre-recorded or archival footage presented as current
- Private events closed to the general public (private parties, closed meetings)
- Medical facilities, private residences, or restricted areas
- Virtual appearances (video calls, holograms, avatars)
- Body doubles or impersonators
- Corpses, funeral viewings, or posthumous footage
Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes:
- Barack Obama attends a movie premiere and is photographed on the red carpet by multiple Source Agencies
- Barack Obama gives a live press conference covered by news media
- Barack Obama attends a sporting event and is shown on the stadium's video screens
Examples that would NOT resolve to Yes:
- Pre-recorded video message
- Private party footage leaked online
- Someone claiming to be Barack Obama but without Source Agency confirmation
- Barack Obama appearing via video link from home
Timeline and payout
Market openApr 1, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXPERSONPUBLIC
EventKXPERSONPUBLIC-26MAY01
MarketKXPERSONPUBLIC-26MAY01-BOBA
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.