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Reminder: Weekly scheduled exchange maintenance will occur from 3-5 AM ET. Trading will be paused during this time.
Public Health
Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year?
Chance
In 2026
6%
▼ 7
Yes
11¢
No
94¢
In 2026
6%
▼ 7
Yes
11¢
No
94¢
Buy
Sell
Dollars
Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year?
YES 11¢
NO 94¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
12% chance
Max payout
Jan 31, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
$0 vol