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Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year? Odds & Predictions 2026
Science and Technology
Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year?
Science and Technology
Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year?
$6,956 vol
Chance
Market Rules
In 2026
If there are above 0 cases of polio in the United States in 2026, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Sources from
Fox News
,
MSNBC
,
The Wall Street Journal
,
Semafor
,
ABC
,
The Information
,
CBS
,
the National Institutes of Health
,
The New York Times
,
Axios
,
CNN
,
Reuters
,
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
,
The Washington Post
,
the Associated Press
, and
Politico
.
View full rules
Help center
Timeline and payout
Market open
Mar 25, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closes
After the outcome occurs
Projected payout
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 31, 2027 at 10:00am EST.
Series
KXPOLIO
Event
KXPOLIO-26
Market
KXPOLIO-26-0
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Report insider trading