Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year?
Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year?
Chance
In 2026
15%
In 2026
15%
Market Rules
In 2026
Resolves Yes if there are above 0 cases of polio in the United States in 2026.Outcome verified from Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, ABC, The Information, CBS, the National Institutes of Health, The New York Times, Axios, CNN, Reuters, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, and Politico.
Timeline and payout
Market openMar 25, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXPOLIO
EventKXPOLIO-26
MarketKXPOLIO-26-0
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
In 2026
Odds
0% chanceMax payout