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Will there be a year without polio 2029? Odds & Predictions
Science and Technology
·
Public Health
Will there be a year without polio before 2030?
Science and Technology
·
Public Health
Will there be a year without polio before 2030?
Order book
Order book
Market Rules
Before 2030
Resolves Yes if
there is any year between 2024 and 2029 in which there are zero reported wild cases of poliovirus 1
.
Outcome verified from
WHO
and
CDC
.
View full rules
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Report Insider Trading
Timeline and payout
Market open
Dec 18, 2024 · 10:00am EST
Market closes
After the outcome occurs
Projected payout
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 1, 2030 at 10:00am EST.
Series
KXPOLIOELIM
Event
KXPOLIOELIM-30
Market
KXPOLIOELIM-30
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Buy
Sell
Dollars
Before 2030
YES --
NO --
Dollars
$
Odds
0% chance
Max payout
$0
Sign up to trade
$38,428 vol