Will @realDonaldTrump tweet this month? Odds & Predictions 2026
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet this month?
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet this month?
$681 vol
Chance
Yes
40%
▼ 9
Yes
40%
▼ 9
Market Rules
Yes
If realDonaldTrump posts, quote posts, and reposts on X above 0 times (not including replies) after Issuance and before July 2026, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from X.
This will be determined by using the X API; deleted posts will be included if they are posted long enough to be picked up by it, which is called every five minutes. It will include all posts except replies.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 1, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closesJul 1, 2026 · 12:00pm EDT
Projected payoutJul 1, 2026 · 12:30pm EDT
SeriesKXPOTUSTWEETS
EventKXPOTUSTWEETS-26JUL01
MarketKXPOTUSTWEETS-26JUL01-0
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.