Number of Fed rate hikes in 2022? Odds & Predictions
Number of Fed rate hikes in 2022?
Number of Fed rate hikes in 2022?
10 times
No
10 times
No
11 times
No
11 times
No
12 times or greater
Yes
12 times or greater
Yes
6 more
Market Rules
4 times or fewer
Resolves Yes ifthe Federal Reserve hikes the federal funds target rate less than 5 times in 2022.Outcome verified from Federal Reserve.
A single ‘hike’ is considered an increase in the upper bound by up to and including 25 basis points. An increase of the upper bound of the target range 26-50 basis points hike is considered two hikes.
This market is proposed by Animal Spirits.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openMar 29, 2022 · 10:00am EDT
Market closedJan 3, 2023 · 10:00am EST
Paid outJan 3, 2023 · 1:00pm EST
SeriesKXRATEHIKE
EventRATEHIKE-22
MarketRATEHIKE-22-C5
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.