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Will the Real ID deadline be delayed again?

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2025
$6,168vol

Order book


Rules summary
If the deadline for the requirement to start using real IDs for domestic flights has been extended past May 7, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from The New York Times, the Associated Press, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, and TSA.

Timeline and payout

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Will the Real ID deadline be delayed again?
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Contracts0
Average price
17¢
Payout if Yes wins
$0