How many people will lose health care because of the Republican reconciliation bill?
How many people will lose health care because of the Republican reconciliation bill?
At least 5 million
Yes
At least 5 million
Yes
At least 7 million
Yes
At least 7 million
Yes
At least 9 million
Yes
At least 9 million
Yes
At least 11 million
Yes
At least 11 million
Yes
Market Rules
At least 5 million
Resolves Yes if at least 5 million lose healthcare coverage as a result of the passage of the next budget reconciliation law before Jan 1, 2026, as estimated by the Congressional Budget Office.Outcome verified from The New York Times, the Associated Press, Reuters, The Wall Street Journal, and Politico.
The target coverage year is 2034.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 4, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXRECHEALTHCARE
EventKXRECHEALTHCARE-26
MarketKXRECHEALTHCARE-26-5
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