Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by next year?

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by next year?

$142,624 vol

ALL

Order book

Market Rules

If any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET, the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Satoshi Index.

Timeline and payout

Market openOct 18, 2025 · 10:00am EDT

Market closesAfter the outcome occurs

Projected payout30 minutes after closing

This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am EST.

SeriesKXSATOSHIBTCYEAR

EventKXSATOSHIBTCYEAR-27

MarketKXSATOSHIBTCYEAR-27

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Intro to Perpetuals

Trade the market’s direction — go long or short, use leverage, and hold without an expiration date.

Intro to Perpetuals

Trade the market’s direction — go long or short, use leverage, and hold without an expiration date.