New Supreme Court justice confirmed?
New Supreme Court justice confirmed?
Chance
Before 2027
43%
Before 2027
43%
Before 2026
No
Before 2026
No
Market Rules
Before 2027
If the Senate confirms a new justice to the Supreme Court between Issuance and December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Library of Congress.
Timeline and payout
Market openDec 9, 2025 · 6:00pm EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout1 hour after closing
SeriesKXSCOTUSN
EventKXSCOTUSN-25DEC31
MarketKXSCOTUSN-25DEC31-27
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
About
The confirmation of a new Supreme Court justice is a significant event in the US political landscape. Since the Supreme Court was established in 1789, presidents have submitted 165 nominations for the Court, with 128 being confirmed. The confirmation process involves the president submitting a nomination to the Senate, which then votes on the candidate. Recent examples of confirmed justices include Ketanji Brown Jackson in 2022 and Neil M. Gorsuch in 2017.