Who will be Trump's Secretary of Homeland Security?
Kristi Noem 100%
Thomas Homan N/A
Chad Wolf N/A
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By Dec 31, 2026 (+0)
$301,804vol
Kristi Noem
Yes
Kristi Noem
Yes
Thomas Homan
No
Thomas Homan
No
Chad Wolf
No
Chad Wolf
No
2 more markets
Important information: Nominees must be confirmed by the United States Senate (recess appointments do not count).
Rules summary for
Kristi Noem
If Kristi Noem is the first person confirmed by the Senate to be Secretary of Homeland Security between November 6, 2024 and December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Library of Congress.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.Expiration value: Kristi Noem
Timeline and payout
About
The Secretary of Homeland Security leads efforts to counter terrorism, secure borders, enforce immigration laws, safeguard cyberspace, and strengthen disaster resilience. This role involves coordinating with federal, state, local, international, and private sector partners to protect national and economic security. President-elect Trump has nominated Kristi Noem to serve in this role, but she has yet to be confirmed by the Senate. (Source: DHS.gov)