What will Karoline Leavitt say during her next press briefing?

China 58%

Homeland Security / DHS 58%

Hegseth 56%

ALL

Before Jun 30, 2025

Chance

$2,280,790vol

China

58%

▲ 5

China

58%

▲ 5

Homeland Security / DHS

58%

Homeland Security / DHS

58%

Hegseth

56%

▲ 8

Hegseth

56%

▲ 8

More markets

Rules summary for

Homeland Security / DHS

If the White House Press Secretary says Homeland Security / DHS at next, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from White House Press Secretary and White House.

The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Hyphenated or compound words used with will not be included. The transcript provided by the White House will be used to resolve this market. If a week has passed without a transcript, video of the briefing will be used. Press gaggles with the Secretary of the Press will also be included as press briefings. Press briefings with the White House Press Secretary and another individual will be included. A compound word group separated by spaces (e.g., "fire truck") will trigger the Payout Criterion if it includes , but a singular compound word (e.g., "fireman"), or a hyphenated compound word (e.g., "fire-resistant") will not. If a phrase can act as both a singular compound word or a compound word group, (e.g., "fire truck" or "firetruck") and there is no Source Agency transcript, Kalshi will determine and defer to the most commonly accepted spelling. We’re aware of the situation around press being closed off from the event. In this case, the Kalshi Markets team will wait until Wednesday, 10am EST and settle the market then. We will be using the combined set of the available video and transcripts published by our Source Agencies. If a term was uttered by Trump off of the video but is in a transcript published by these sources at 10am, that would be sufficient to trigger the Payout Criterion.

Timeline and payout

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