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How big is 3I/ATLAS? Odds & Predictions 2025
Science and Technology
How big is 3I/ATLAS?
Science and Technology
How big is 3I/ATLAS?
More than 0.5 km
No
More than 0.5 km
No
More than 1.0 km
No
More than 1.0 km
No
More than 1.5 km
No
More than 1.5 km
No
More than 2.0 km
No
More than 2.0 km
No
Market Rules
More than 0.5 km
The outcome is No
If 3I/ATLAS is more than 0.5 kilometers, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Sources from
in hierarchical order
,
NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory
,
the European Space Agency
,
JAXA
,
CNSA
,
Roscosmos
,
the Indian Space Research Organisation
,
peer-reviewed scientific journals
,
official observatory announcements from major ground-based telescopes
,
space telescope teams
,
The International Astronomical Union
,
The Minor Planet Center
,
official spacecraft mission announcements
,
The New York Times
,
Scientific American
, and
Space
.
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Report Insider Trading
Timeline and payout
Market open
Jul 24, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Market closed
After the outcome occurs
Paid out
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 30, 2025 at 11:59pm EST.
Series
KXSIZE3IATLAS
Event
KXSIZE3IATLAS-25
Market
KXSIZE3IATLAS-25-0.5
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.