Important information: For the purposes of this market, where a song takes the form of a “new song,” the release must be an original composition. Releases derived from or modifying a song already publicly available on Spotify, including releases with newly added verses or other modifications to an existing composition, do not meet the Payout Criterion solely by virtue of containing new material. Accordingly, “SmaXk Or Die - (feat. Playboi Carti)” by Fatt Smaxk, released May 22, 2026, is derived from “SmaXk Or Die” by Fatt Smaxk, which was publicly available on Spotify beginning October 11, 2025. Therefore, this release does not meet the Payout Criterion for a “new song.
When will Playboi Carti release a new song?
When will Playboi Carti release a new song?
Chance
Before July
10%
Before July
10%
Before September
47%
Before September
47%
Before November
50%
▼ 11
Before November
50%
▼ 11
1 more
Market Rules
Before July
Resolves Yes if Playboi Carti releases a new song Before Jul 1, 2026.Outcome verified from Spotify.
Timeline and payout
Market openMar 13, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXSONGRELEASEDATEPC
EventKXSONGRELEASEDATEPC-26
MarketKXSONGRELEASEDATEPC-26-JUL01
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.