If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 12 before May 22, 2026, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from FAA.
If source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.
Timeline and payout
Market openMay 19, 2026 · 12:00pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout1 hour after closing
If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET. Otherwise, it closes by May 21, 2026 at 11:59pm EDT.