S&P 500 move on July FOMC day?
S&P 500 move on July FOMC day?
Begins in 37 days · Jul 29, 3:00pm EDT
Chance
At least 0.25%
66%
▲ 51
At least 0.25%
66%
▲ 51
At least 0.50%
44%
▲ 18
At least 0.50%
44%
▲ 18
At least 0.75%
32%
▲ 17
At least 0.75%
32%
▲ 17
9 more
Market Rules
At least 0.25%
Resolves Yes if the the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 is at least 0.25%.Outcome verified from S&P Global.
The absolute percentage change will be calculated using the official S&P 500 closing level for July 29, 2026 and the official S&P 500 closing level for the previous trading day. The S&P 500 Index refers to the S&P 500 price-return index, not the S&P 500 Total Return Index, S&P 500 futures, ETFs, or intraday values. The move will be calculated as |July 29, 2026 close - previous trading day close| / previous trading day close × 100.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 21, 2026 · 6:00pm EDT
Market closesJul 29, 2026 · 3:59pm EDT
Projected payoutAug 5, 2026 · 6:00pm EDT
SeriesKXSPXFOMC
EventKXSPXFOMC-26JUL29
MarketKXSPXFOMC-26JUL29-T0.25
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.