How much revenue will tariffs bring in in 2025?

How much revenue will tariffs bring in in 2025?

At least $150 billion

Yes

At least $150 billion

Yes

At least $200 billion

Yes

At least $200 billion

Yes

At least $300 billion

No

At least $300 billion

No

At least $500 billion

No

At least $500 billion

No

Market Rules

At least $150 billion

The outcome is Yes

Resolves Yes if tariff revenue is at least $150 billion in 2025.Outcome verified from FRED.

If source agency data from FRED is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 7.2(b).

Timeline and payout

Market openJul 18, 2025 · 10:00am EDT

Market closedAfter the outcome occurs

Paid out30 minutes after closing

This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2025 at 11:59pm EST.

SeriesKXTARIFFREVENUE

EventKXTARIFFREVENUE-25

MarketKXTARIFFREVENUE-25-150

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.