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Will Trump impose new tariffs on China this year?

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Dec 5Dec 18Jan 1Jan 14Jan 2877%82.5%88%93.5%99%
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What is Kalshi?
Kalshi is the first regulated platform in the US where you can trade on events, just like stocks. Think of it as the NYSE, but for things you relate to, care about, and understand.
Before 2026
$8,062vol

Order book
Order book


Rules summary
If new tariffs are imposed (or tariffs are raised) on People's Republic of China by an executive action before 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from White House and The New York Times.
The tariffs must actually be in effect for at least some businesses to resolve the market to Yes.

Timeline and payout

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Will Trump impose new tariffs on China this year?
Buy Yes
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Contracts0
Average price
91¢
Payout if Yes wins
$0