Kalshi is the first regulated platform in the US where you can trade on events, just like stocks. Think of it as the NYSE, but for things you relate to, care about, and understand.
Before 2026
$8,062vol
Order book
Order book
Rules summary
If new tariffs are imposed (or tariffs are raised) on People's Republic of China by an executive action before 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from White House and The New York Times.
The tariffs must actually be in effect for at least some businesses to resolve the market to Yes.