If Tesla has at least 380000 total deliveries in Q4 2025, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from Tesla.
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Timeline and payout
Market openDec 9, 2025 · 12:00pm EST
Market closedJan 2, 2026 · 4:08pm EST
Paid outJan 3, 2026 · 11:00am EST
SeriesKXTESLA
EventKXTESLA-25-Q4
MarketKXTESLA-25-Q4-380000
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Tesla
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Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
About
After a strong fourth quarter in 2023, Tesla started off 2024 with a quarter that Wedbush analyst Dan Ives called a 'nightmare.' The company delivered only 386,810 electric vehicles, which was far below Wall Street estimates. What's in store for Q2?