Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO this year?

chance

▼

ALL

Before 2026 (+1)

$128,760vol

Order book

Rules summary

If Elon Musk is no longer CEO of Tesla by Dec 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Tesla and Bloomberg.

For the avoidance of doubt, an announcement that Elon Musk will no longer be CEO at some point in the future isn't sufficient for the market to resolve to Yes.

Timeline and payout

Trading prohibitions

Market suggested by

@Hbranch734

About

Elon Musk's role as CEO of Tesla has been a subject of controversy and scrutiny. Recently, Tesla shareholders voted on two key resolutions: one to approve Musk's $56 billion pay package and another to relocate the company's place of incorporation from Delaware to Texas. Now that both resolutions have passed, is Musk's tenure as CEO secure?

Decoding the market

Case for Before 2026

'In January Musk challenged the Tesla board in a post on X, the social media platform he now owns, to come up with a new compensation package. Unless he gets 25%, he wrote that he'd prefer to build products outside of Tesla, apparently with another company.' (TOM KRISHER, AP - 4.17.24)

Case for Not before 2026

'The thing is, the Tesla board is pretty much always 100% in alignment with Musk. I can't recall a situation in the past decade in which the board voted against Musk's wishes...So, no, I don't think Elon will be moving on from Tesla anytime soon.' (Zachary Shahan, CleanTechnica.com - January, 2024)

People are also trading