How much will Tesla deliveries grow this year?

Chance

Above 500000 in a single quarter

22%

▼ 3

Above 500000 in a single quarter

▼ 3

Above 750000 in a single quarter

▲ 3

Above 750000 in a single quarter

▲ 3

Above 1000000 in a single quarter

▲ 4

Above 1000000 in a single quarter

▲ 4

2 more

Above 500000 in a single quarter

Resolves Yes if Tesla delivers more than 500000 vehicles in a single quarter starting with Q1 2025 and before Q1 2027.Outcome verified from Tesla.

Timeline and payout

Market openMar 20, 2025 · 10:00am EDT

Market closesAfter the outcome occurs

Projected payout30 minutes after closing

This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Apr 1, 2027 at 11:00am EDT.

SeriesKXTESLADELIVERYBY

EventKXTESLADELIVERYBY-27

MarketKXTESLADELIVERYBY-27-500000

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