How much will Tesla deliveries grow this year? Odds & Predictions 2026
How much will Tesla deliveries grow this year?
How much will Tesla deliveries grow this year?
Chance
Above 500000 in a single quarter
17%
Above 500000 in a single quarter
17%
Above 750000 in a single quarter
1%
Above 750000 in a single quarter
1%
Above 1000000 in a single quarter
1%
Above 1000000 in a single quarter
1%
2 more
Market Rules
Above 500000 in a single quarter
If Tesla delivers more than 500000 vehicles in a single quarter starting with Q1 2025 and before Q1 2027, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from Tesla.
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Timeline and payout
Market openMar 20, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Apr 1, 2027 at 11:00am EDT.
SeriesKXTESLADELIVERYBY
EventKXTESLADELIVERYBY-27
MarketKXTESLADELIVERYBY-27-500000
Insider trading is prohibited
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Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
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