How much will Tesla's energy business grow 2026? Odds & Predictions
How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027?
How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027?
Chance
Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter
55%
Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter
55%
Above 20 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter
26%
Above 20 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter
26%
Above 30 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter
21%
Above 30 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter
21%
Above 50 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter
10%
▲ 1
Above 50 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter
10%
▲ 1
Market Rules
Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter
Resolves Yes ifTesla deploys more than 15 GWh of energy products in a single quarter starting with Q1 2025 and before Q1 2027.Outcome verified from Tesla.
Powered by
Timeline and payout
Market openMar 20, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Apr 1, 2027 at 11:00am EDT.
SeriesKXTESLAENERGYBY
EventKXTESLAENERGYBY-27
MarketKXTESLAENERGYBY-27-15
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter