Treasury 10-year yield on Feb 6, 2026? Odds & Predictions
Treasury 10-year yield on Feb 6, 2026?
Treasury 10-year yield on Feb 6, 2026?
4.18% to 4.2%
No
4.18% to 4.2%
No
4.21% to 4.23%
Yes
4.21% to 4.23%
Yes
4.24% to 4.26%
No
4.24% to 4.26%
No
12 more
Market Rules
4.05% or below
The outcome is 4.22
Resolves Yes ifthe yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury notes is below 4.06 % on Feb 6, 2026.Outcome verified from U.S. Department of the Treasury.
The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Feb 6, 2026, or one week following Feb 6, 2026.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openJan 30, 2026 · 4:30pm EST
Market closedFeb 6, 2026 · 3:25pm EST
Paid outFeb 6, 2026 · 4:25pm EST
SeriesKXTNOTEW
EventKXTNOTEW-26FEB06
MarketKXTNOTEW-26FEB06-T4.06
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.